Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004569 0.004814 0.005066 0.005346 0.005647 0.005962 0.006318
2025-09-14 0.004088 0.004442 0.004822 0.005264 0.005763 0.006313 0.006969
2025-09-21 0.003834 0.004253 0.004717 0.005272 0.005922 0.006665 0.007586
2025-09-28 0.003537 0.003982 0.004486 0.005102 0.005843 0.006713 0.007827
2025-10-05 0.003382 0.003859 0.004410 0.005098 0.005946 0.006969 0.008317
2025-10-12 0.003299 0.003813 0.004416 0.005185 0.006155 0.007355 0.008987
2025-10-19 0.003164 0.003694 0.004325 0.005144 0.006196 0.007527 0.009382
2025-10-26 0.003049 0.003593 0.004250 0.005115 0.006245 0.007705 0.009790
2025-11-02 0.002942 0.003496 0.004172 0.005076 0.006277 0.007857 0.010166
2025-11-09 0.002900 0.003477 0.004192 0.005162 0.006473 0.008237 0.010880
2025-11-16 0.002817 0.003402 0.004135 0.005141 0.006523 0.008415 0.011313
2025-11-23 0.002737 0.003329 0.004077 0.005116 0.006563 0.008577 0.011729
2025-11-30 0.002645 0.003237 0.003991 0.005050 0.006545 0.008658 0.012030
2025-12-07 0.002555 0.003144 0.003902 0.004977 0.006512 0.008715 0.012296
2025-12-14 0.002502 0.003099 0.003874 0.004985 0.006595 0.008943 0.012846
2025-12-21 0.002391 0.002972 0.003731 0.004827 0.006428 0.008788 0.012764
2025-12-28 0.002342 0.002928 0.003699 0.004824 0.006488 0.008978 0.013260
2026-01-04 0.002326 0.002927 0.003725 0.004904 0.006675 0.009374 0.014131
2026-01-11 0.002270 0.002869 0.003672 0.004866 0.006680 0.009482 0.014510
2026-01-18 0.002220 0.002819 0.003626 0.004839 0.006699 0.009612 0.014936
2026-01-25 0.002169 0.002767 0.003577 0.004803 0.006703 0.009717 0.015322
2026-02-01 0.002159 0.002769 0.003605 0.004882 0.006890 0.010132 0.016314
2026-02-08 0.002118 0.002728 0.003568 0.004863 0.006919 0.010283 0.016816